Charles
Dickens' opening line in A Tale of Two Cities,
"It was the best of times, it was the worst
of times," does not quite apply to the year
1968.
It
hardly could be called the best of times for anyone
except the most anarchic among us who might have
revelled in the chaos that afflicted the nation
in that tumultuous twelve-month period thirty years
ago.
But
the events of 1968—from the Tet Offensive
in Vietnam that convinced millions of Americans
that their country was on a hopeless treadmill in
Southeast Asia, to the effective presidential abdication
of Lyndon Johnson, the assassinations of Dr. Martin
Luther King Jr. and Sen. Robert F. Kennedy, the
police riot at the Democratic National Convention
in Chicago and the election of Richard M. Nixon
and Spiro T. Agnew—did put the country on
a course that in time gave conservatives due cause
to celebrate.
The
turmoil of 1968 created a climate of despair and
frustration on which the basically untrusted and
minimally liked Nixon and his newly discovered political
clone Agnew effectively played to fashion their
law-and-order election. A key element in their success
was their demonization of liberalism in general
and the Democratic Party in particular that has
endured to the present time. Although Nixon never
rose above the 43 percent voter support in the polls
that he had when he entered the presidential race
in January of 1968—he finished with 43.4 percent
of the popular vote to 42.7 percent for Democratic
nominee Hubert H. Humphrey—it was enough in
a contest in which independent rabble-rouser George
C. Wallace, tapping into the same public unrest,
siphoned off 13.5 percent.
Thus
the Republican Party, only four years after its
obituary was being read in the wake of Johnson's
landslide victory over Sen. Barry Goldwater, the
darling of a budding conservative movement, was
already resurrected. And while Nixon the cold-eyed
pragmatist certainly was not a conservative of the
Goldwater mold, his election and reelection in 1972
did contribute to the emergence in national politics
of the new icon of conservatism, Ronald Reagan,
and to the eventual primacy of the conservative
movement.
So
it can be reasonably argued that if the stormy events
of 1968 were not precisely the best of times for
the right wing of American politics, they clearly
were, taken together, major contributors to its
rise. The castigation of liberals and Democrats
crafted from the 1968 explosions in the streets
of America's major cities, and from growing white
blue-collar hostility toward blacks and the scruffy
and often foul-mouthed protesters against the war,
has continued to today.
As
for 1968 being the worst of times, it cannot be
disputed that it was so perceived for those liberals
and for the Democratic Party, and for all those
Americans who saw the United States mired in racial,
social and economic injustice at home and in a no-win
overcommitment of American military forces in Vietnam.
That perception is the one that is most commonly
recalled in all the retrospectives of 1968 that
have been airing on television and in various forums
this year. But it should be remembered that what
was an historic downer for opponents of the war
in Vietnam and LBJ's pursuit of it, and for the
causes of racial and social equality as espoused
by King and Kennedy, was a helpful if overly costly
turning point in the national direction as seen,
at least in retrospect, by many leading conservatives.
So
what was this schizophrenic 1968 all about? For
good or ill, it was the tearing apart of the American
society in the realms of politics, class, racial
civility and sexual, cultural and generational attitudes,
all shattered by the domestic conflicts over the
Vietnam war and new directions in the civil rights
struggle.
The
turmoil actually began in 1967, with
deep unrest among liberals in the Democratic Party
over the leadership of President Johnson at home
and abroad. His escalating commitment to the war
in Vietnam was on a collision course with his ambitious
Great Society agenda for social and economic betterment
of the nation's disadvantaged. Yet he insisted,
in the popular rendering, that the country could
afford both "guns and butter." The result
was animosity among many whites who had supported
black America's campaign for equal rights but saw
that campaign's turn to a fight for jobs and wages
as threatening to their own economic well-being.
Two
American political leaders, King and Kennedy, were
in the forefront of the opposition to the war and
at the same time of the advocacy of policies to
relieve the plight of poor Americans, both urban
and rural. King had already begun preaching about
the link between the two causes. In a sermon at
Riverside Church in New York in April 1967, he had
noted "that the war was doing far more than
devastating the hopes of the poor at home. It was
sending their sons and their brothers and their
husbands to fight and die in extraordinarily high
proportions relative to the rest of the population.
The Great Society," he said, "has been
shot down on the battlefields of Vietnam."
King
notably made his observation not in terms of race
but of economic class, but it was a fact that more
black Americans were fighting and dying in Vietnam
than were other Americans. Kennedy at this time
was also coming to this realization and including
it in his increasingly outspoken remarks about the
course of American participation in the war.
As
early as March of 1967, liberal Democrats were talking
about running someone against Johnson in the 1968
presidential primaries. Two young University of
North Carolina and National Student Association
alumni, Allard Lowenstein and Curtis Gans, began
shopping around for a candidate to take on LBJ.
Their obvious target was Kennedy, whose ill feelings
toward Johnson, on both personal and policy grounds,
were well known. But Kennedy feared a challenge
would be fruitless, would only split the Democratic
Party and lead to election of the despised Nixon
and—equally important in his mind—would
be widely dismissed as merely a personal vendetta.
So he declined.
The
search finally settled, with disappointment, on
Sen. Eugene McCarthy of Minnesota, little known
nationally but a man equally disturbed as Kennedy
about the Vietnam war and Johnson's stewardship.
His declaration of candidacy on November 30, 1967,
noting "growing evidence of a deepening moral
crisis in America," provided the framework
for all that was to happen in 1968.
In
the Republican Party, Nixon was attempting a comeback
after his defeats for president in 1960 and for
governor of California in 1962, after which he had
made his memorable promise that "you won't
have Nixon to kick around anymore." His only
Republican challenger at the start of 1968 was former
Governor George Romney of Michigan. In short order
former Governor George C. Wallace of Alabama also
entered the race as an independent, essentially
working the same law-and-order side of the street
on which Nixon trod.
The
first milestone of 1968 occurred on January
30, when nearly 70,000 enemy forces launched vicious
attacks on 36 provincial capitals and five major
cities, and the next day the American embassy in
Saigon itself was assaulted and held for several
hours. The offensive was timed for Tet, a major
religious holiday, and while it is argued by some
military men to this day that enemy casualties were
so great as to constitute a major defeat for the
North Vietnamese and indigenous Viet Cong, the psychological
impact in the United States was devastating. Optimistic
talk from American military and political leaders
was widely dismissed now as false, and both pessimism
and anger set in on the home front.
McCarthy,
chiding LBJ for "hollow claims of progress
and victories" and backed by thousands of idealistic
college students seizing on his longshot candidacy
as their best vehicle for extricating the country
from the war, jolted the political world on March
12 by nearly upsetting the sitting president in
the New Hampshire Democratic primary. He lost to
absentee candidate Johnson by only 7.2 percent,
and when Republican write-in votes for McCarthy
were included, he trailed LBJ by a mere 230 votes.
On the Republican side, Nixon easily disposed of
Romney, who actually had bowed out before the primary
voting.
One
immediate result of McCarthy's strong showing was
Kennedy's decision to join the fight for the Democratic
nomination. Informed political soundings a week
before the voting in New Hampshire convinced Kennedy
that LBJ was already dividing their party, enabling
him to rationalize that a candidacy of his own would
not be responsible for the split. In deference to
McCarthy's impending strong showing—and realizing
announcing his candidacy before the primary voting
would only add to his longtime reputation as "ruthless"—Kennedy
did not announce until the following Saturday. His
entry into the race fanned Johnson's worst fears
that once again his political fortunes would be
detoured by a Kennedy, as they were when John F.
Kennedy defeated him for the party's presidential
nomination in 1960.
Kennedy's
candidacy, which started like a political wildfire
as he was released from all his personal and political
reservations and set out to restore the Kennedy
version of the mythical Camelot, came too late for
him to enter the next presidential primary in Wisconsin.
But McCarthy sailed into that contest a popular
hero among liberals and other anti-Johnson, anti-war
Democrats. He was on the verge of a clear-cut victory
over the incumbent president when LBJ, on the night
of March 31, shocked the nation by announcing, because
he was determined not to let political interest
detract from his search for Vietnam, that "I
shall not seek, and I will not accept, the nomination
of my party for another term as your president."
Suddenly both McCarthy and Kennedy were stripped
of their prime campaign target and rationale for
running. McCarthy two days later routed LBJ by 22
percent in the Wisconsin primary, with the first
showdown between the two survivors just ahead in
Indiana in early May.
Only
four days after Johnson's political bombshell,
the nation was rocked again. King, leading a strike
of sanitation workers in Memphis, was assassinated
as he stood on the balcony of his room in the Lorraine
Motel. A single rifle bullet to the head killed
him, triggering at the same time bloody and fiery
riots in at least a dozen major American cities
and more than a hundred smaller cities and towns.
The eventual toll was 46 deaths and hundreds more
injured. On April 5, the day after the slaying,
Johnson called out 4,000 federal troops to quell
the rioting in Washington and more than 20,000 Army
and 34,000 National Guardsmen were ordered to anti-riot
duty across the country.
One
who publicly mourned King's death only hours after
the deed was Robert Kennedy, who broke the news
to an unsuspecting crowd in a black neighborhood
in Indianapolis. "For those of you who are
black and are tempted to be filled with hatred and
distrust at the injustice of such an act, against
all white people," he said, "I can only
say that I feel in my own heart the same kind of
feeling. I had a member of my family killed, but
he was killed by a white man." Kennedy pleaded
with the crowd not to resort to violence, and his
calming remarks were effective. Barely six weeks
later, however, a similar act of violence was also
to be delivered against him.
One
of the other cities that felt the lash of black
outrage and frustration over King's assassination
was Baltimore, where black power advocates stirred
residents to arson and looting. The incensed governor
of Maryland, Republican Spiro Agnew, castigated
the city's moderate black leadership for not interceding
with greater effort and determination. It was a
performance that caught the eye of Nixon, with a
profound impact eventually on Agnew's political
future.
Prior
to this time Agnew had conducted a sort of one-man
draft campaign for a reluctant Republican Gov. Nelson
A. Rockefeller of New York, who had been backing
Romney against Nixon. After Nixon drove Romney from
the race in New Hampshire, Agnew and others mounted
pressure on Rockefeller. Finally, Rockefeller said
he would reconsider. Agnew was buoyant, but was
soon crushed when Rockefeller again declined to
run, without notifying the Maryland governor. Agnew
was irate, and was recruited on the rebound into
the Nixon camp. By the time Rockefeller reconsidered
once again and this time entered the race, Agnew
was gone.
Meanwhile,
America's college campuses were aflame, literally
or figuratively, against not only the Vietnam war
but also what many students saw as undemocratic
university policies, mirroring with campus demonstrations
student outbreaks that were occurring in West Germany,
France and other hotbeds of protest. Among the most
serious was at Columbia in New York, where the university
president, Grayson Kirk, on April 12 dismissed the
behavior as anarchy.
"Our
young people," he said, "in disturbing
numbers appear to reject all forms of authority,
from whatever source derived, and they have taken
refuge in a turbulent and inchoate nihilism whose
sole objectives are destructive. I know of no time
in our history when the gap between the generations
has been wider or more potentially dangerous."
The student leaders answered with invective and
finally New York police were called in to quell
the upheaval, but not before it had forced a premature
end to the spring semester.
Such
disturbances were ready ammunition for Nixon as
he breezed along in uncontested Republican primaries.
He called the violence at Columbia "the first
major skirmish in a revolutionary struggle to seize
the universities of this country and transform them
into sanctuaries for radicals and vehicles for revolutionary
political and social goals." Columbia authorities,
he said, should "rid the campus now [of its]
anarchic students." As he spoke, more campus
protests erupted—at Princeton, the University
of Chicago, Northwestern, Southern Illinois, San
Francisco State and elsewhere.
Meanwhile,
a Poor People's March on Washington that had been
planned by Dr. King continued to roll into the nation's
capital, numbering about 1,500 marchers encamped
in what was called Resurrection City. Rains pummeled
the marchers and mired them in mud. Protest marches
to government buildings led by Jesse Jackson and
others were turned away, heightening outspoken anger
among the marchers—and giving Nixon even more
grounds to declare that the country needed a stronger
hand to deal with troublemakers.
On
April 27, Vice President Humphrey entered the race
as the Democratic party establishment candidate,
picking up much of Johnson's old support but also
the political albatross of LBJ's increasingly unpopular
Vietnam war policies. Humphrey, intimidated by Johnson
and loyal to the man who had put him a heartbeat
away from the presidency in 1964, turned a deaf
ear to advisers who urged him to break with Johnson
by calling for a hiatus in the bombing of North
Vietnam, to get stalemated peace talks resumed.
Kennedy's
highly emotional campaign surged onward, and in
the Indiana primary on May 7 he defeated a stand-in
for Humphrey, Gov. Roger Branigin, and McCarthy.
He beat McCarthy again in Nebraska, easily, and
appeared headed for a knockout blow against the
Minnesotan in the next major primary, in Oregon,
two weeks later. Humphrey meanwhile was eschewing
the competitive primaries and accumulating delegates
by picking up commitments, some of them half-hearted
but dutiful, from Democratic establishment figures
in most of the states.
In
both Indiana and Nebraska, Kennedy had benefited
not only from his family name but also from the
presence of a coalition of white blue-collar and
black voters who responded strongly to his economic
message. But in Oregon he encountered a much more
comfortable middle-class, suburban constituency
with whom that message did not resonate. Also, Oregon
Democrats had been among the early critics of the
war in Vietnam, and McCarthy's willingness to take
on the fight won him staunch supporters who withstood
the Kennedy allure. As a result, Kennedy suffered
his family's first defeat at the polls as the campaign
moved to California for the final major primary,
on June 4.
There,
Kennedy once again found his black and blue-collar
constituency, along with large numbers of supportive
Latino voters. Frenetic street campaigning restored
his spirits and his campaign, and on election night
he was declared the winner over McCarthy, although
by a margin smaller than he had hoped for. In a
rousing victory speech in the ballroom of the Ambassador
Hotel in Los Angeles, Kennedy praised McCarthy but
asked his supporters to join him "not for myself
but for the cause and the ideas which moved you
to begin this great popular movement." Although
McCarthy was still in the race, Kennedy rather dismissively
expressed the hope that Humphrey would join him
in a dialogue or debate "on what direction
we want to go in" at home and in Vietnam. Then
it was, as he said, "on to Chicago, and let's
win there."
The
crowd's cheers were in his ears as he moved off
the platform and into the kitchen area behind the
ballroom, where an anti-Israel Palestinian refugee
named Sirhan Sirhan waited holding a hidden handgun.
He fired rapidly at point-blank range, also hitting
five others, all of whom recovered. Kennedy, after
desperate surgery, died the next day. This time
there was no rioting in the streets; only shock
and dismay, as the life of the second Kennedy brother
had been snuffed out in the same way as the first.
On
the day Kennedy was buried at Arlington
National Cemetery, Scotland Yard detectives at Heathrow
Airport outside London climaxed a two-month manhunt
with the seizing and arrest of James Earl Ray, charged
with the murder of Dr. King. Nearly a year later
he was convicted of first-degree murder and sentenced
to ninety-nine years in prison, but conspiracy theorists,
joined by the King family, have continued to today
to insist that Ray did not act alone. As for Sirhan,
he was also convicted of murder and the jury voted
for the death penalty, but the sentence was changed
to life imprisonment when the state Supreme Court
outlawed capital punishment. All requests for parole
have been denied.
At
the time of his death, Kennedy still was considered
a longshot to capture the nomination. Humphrey was
closing in on a majority of the convention delegates,
if indeed he did not already have them. But as the
Johnson candidate with the Vietnam war hung around
his neck, there were great doubts within the party
about his ability to beat Nixon. Kennedy had planned
to campaign aggressively in New York and elsewhere
to demonstrate Humphrey's weakness in the hope of
prying delegates from him. As matters turned out,
McCarthy was not much of a magnet, nor did he make
any serious effort to gain delegate strength after
his loss to Kennedy in California and Kennedy's
death.
But
the Democratic National Convention in Chicago was
a pitched battle nonetheless—on the convention
floor between supporters of a strong anti-war platform
plank and pro-Humphrey defenders of the status quo,
and in the streets of the city between anti-war
and anti-Johnson protesters and the Chicago police.
Humphrey, with LBJ looking menacingly over his shoulder
from his ranch in Texas, failed in attempts to get
Johnson to ease his Vietnam policies. The anti-war
plank was defeated and the protesters were beaten
with nightsticks and hauled off in ugly scenes captured
by television cameras that were then shown in the
convention hall and across the country.
As
anti-war demonstrators stood outside the Democratic
headquarters hotel and chanted, "Hey, hey,
LBJ! How many kids have you killed today?"
police fired tear gas into the crowds and rousted
young college supporters of McCarthy from their
hotel rooms and beds, slugging some and petrifying
others.
The
scenes outside the hall cast a pall over the convention,
overshadowing the hapless Humphrey's moment of political
triumph and further contributing to Nixon's argument
that the country was out of control under Democratic
leadership. This was especially so when a blue-ribbon
review commission dubbed the Chicago disturbances
a "police riot."
All
this time, Nixon continued to sail toward nomination
at his own party's convention, unimpeded by the
eleventh-hour effort by Rockefeller to detour him.
Rockefeller spent millions of dollars in television
ads and personal campaigning in key states, in an
attempt to drive his polling figures high enough
to persuade Republican delegates that Nixon would
lose in November, and that he was the Republican
who could win. The poll numbers, however, failed
to make the case and Nixon was easily nominated
on the first ballot. His surprise choice of Agnew
as his running mate provided the only drama at the
convention in Miami.
Meeting
the press, Agnew acknowledged that his was not "a
household name," but it soon became one as
he emerged as a slashing vice-presidential nominee
in the style of Nixon himself when he ran with Dwight
D. Eisenhower in 1952 and 1956. Agnew's attacks
on Humphrey gave forewarning of his later performance
as political hatchetman as vice president. But in
a Republican campaign with law and order as its
mantra, his voice was an effective bludgeon of the
Democratic opposition.
Into
the fall, the presidential campaign played out against
a backdrop of continued campus unrest and street
protest against the Vietnam war. Humphrey, frozen
in his support of LBJ's stay-the-course posture
on the war, was unable to win over the timely backing
either of McCarthy or his supporters, and his cause
seemed hopeless. Finally, on September 30, in a
speech in Salt Lake City, Humphrey made a modest
break with Johnson on Vietnam, saying he would "be
willing to stop the bombing of North Vietnam as
an acceptable risk for peace" but would resume
"if the government of North Vietnam were to
show bad faith." Johnson was furious, but Humphrey
began to show signs of upward movement thereafter.
In
the critical month of October, both Nixon
and Wallace continued to hammer at the law-and-order
theme in rallies and television ads. Nixon was blunt.
"The first civil right of every American,"
he said in one ad showing scenes of street violence,
"is to be free from domestic violence. So I
pledge to you, we will have order in the United
States." A Wallace ad showed a woman walking
down a dark street as a street lamp was smashed,
with Wallace saying, "As president, I shall
help make it possible for you and your families
to walk the streets of our cities in safety."
Nixon,
however, rightly regarded Wallace more as a menace
to his own chances than as an ally. He feared that
Wallace might peel off enough of the same law-and-order
vote he was seeking to enable Humphrey to squeak
through or deny either of them an electoral-college
majority, and thus throw the election into the Democratic-led
House of Representatives, where he likely would
lose. Nixon charged Wallace was waging "a calculated
campaign to divide this nation, to deliberately
inflame the fears, frustrations and prejudices of
our people, to bring this nation to the brink of
broad-scale disorder." He called Wallace "the
creature of the most reactionary underground forces
in American life."
At
the same time, Nixon refused to debate Humphrey
and at one point proposed that he and Humphrey agree
that the winner of the popular vote be declared
elected—a transparent gambit against the possibility
of the election going to the House that Humphrey
quickly dismissed.
Nixon
not only declined to debate Humphrey; he kept himself
carefully insulated from the press corps that traveled
with him to avoid questions he did not want to answer.
Foremost among them was how he would, as he had
promised, end the war in Vietnam. Throughout, he
campaigned in a staff-constructed cocoon, making
limited and always carefully crafted appearances.
In 1960 against John Kennedy, he had run himself
ragged fulfilling a pledge to campaign in all fifty
states; this time he was marshalling his strength.
Meanwhile, Humphrey continued to campaign frenetically
from dawn to midnight. Television producers in New
York got only the slick Nixon performances to air;
from the Humphrey campaign they got warts and all,
and often selected the more interesting warts to
show.
As
the campaign approached the final weeks and days,
a scenario then known only to the participants evolved
that could have changed the outcome of the election,
and the series of cataclysmic political events that
eventually followed. Johnson was laboring diligently
to bring about the resumption of Vietnam peace talks
in Paris, stalemated over various disagreements
on who would participate and under what conditions.
LBJ believed that Humphrey's best chance of being
elected, and maybe his only chance, was to get the
talks started again with the possible achievement
of a breakthrough for peace.
The
Nixon campaign was well aware of this possibility
and his strategists talked among themselves of a
possible "October surprise" by Johnson
that would pull Humphrey's chestnuts out of the
fire for him at the campaign's eleventh hour. It
so happened that a strong Nixon supporter and campaign
worker, Anna Chennault, the Chinese-born widow of
the late Gen. Claire Chennault, commander of the
famed Flying Tigers of World War II, had strong
connections with the South Vietnamese regime.
Johnson
had her put under surveillance and she was tracked
going in and out of the South Vietnamese embassy
in Washington in the waning days. Taped phone conversations
with South Vietnamese President Nguyen Van Thieu
made by U.S. intelligence agencies convinced Johnson
that Chennault was working as a Nixon agent to persuade
Saigon that if the South Vietnamese refused to take
part in the Paris peace talks, they would get a
better deal from Nixon once he took office.
At
a critical point, Johnson turned over the material,
which he believed confirmed treasonous conduct by
Nixon or his strategists, to Humphrey. But Humphrey,
according to LBJ White House aide Joseph Califano
later, decided not to make it public, partly because
the intelligence sources it came from could not
be revealed, because Humphrey couldn't be sure Nixon
was directly involved, and because he feared the
disclosure might backfire against him.
"Johnson
was furious," Califano wrote in his book, The
Triumph and Tragedy of Lyndon Johnson, "thinking
it was 'the dumbest thing in the world not to do
it.' Humphrey thought it would be 'terrible to do
that sort of thing' when he wasn't absolutely sure
of the facts," Califano wrote. "Johnson
thought it would be worse to have a president so
consumed with power that he would betray the country's
national security interests, undermine its foreign
policy and endanger the lives of its young soldiers
to win the office."
According
to Humphrey aide Ted Van Dyk, Humphrey complained
that "the China lobby is going to deny me the
presidency," but still he balked at using the
information. On the final weekend, the South Vietnamese
leaders, after first agreeing to join the peace
talks and sending a rush of euphoria through the
Humphrey camp, did in fact suddenly pull out of
the talks, denying Humphrey the "October surprise"
that could have turned the election in his favor.
In the razor-thin margin by which Nixon was elected,
such a disclosure could well have reversed the outcome.
Johnson
wrote in his memoir, The Vantage Point,
that he was convinced that Humphrey's failure to
use the intelligence he had given him "cost
Hubert Humphrey the presidency, especially since
a shift of only a few hundred thousand votes would
have made him the winner. I am certain that the
outcome would have been different if the Paris peace
talks had been in progress on Election Day."
Humphrey
himself in his own book, The Education of a Public
Man, quoted from notes he had made in
his diary on election day as he awaited the results
of the election: "I wonder if I should have
blown the whistle on Anna Chennault and Nixon. He
must have known about her call to Thieu. I wish
I could have been sure. Damn Thieu. Dragging his
feet this past weekend hurt us. I wonder if that
call did it. If Nixon knew. Maybe I should have
blasted them anyway."
For
Johnson's part, Califano wrote later, Humphrey's
refusal to use the information he passed on to him
"became the occasion of a lasting rift"
between Johnson and Humphrey. That refusal, Califano
said in a later interview, "really tore it.
Johnson thought Hubert had no balls, no spine, no
toughness."
And
so Nixon and Agnew were elected and the
American role in the Vietnam war went on. Violence
abroad and at home continued; just four days after
Nixon's election, Secret Service agents and New
York police swooped down on three men in Brooklyn,
a naturalized citizen from Yemen and his two sons,
and arrested them on charges of plotting to assassinate
the President-elect. Although they were indicted,
the informant's credibility was rated weak and the
men were first freed on bail and later acquitted
of all but a minor weapons charge. But the atmosphere
of the year was by now sufficiently poisonous to
produce such police activity.
In
Detroit, a group of Yippies was held in a bombing;
a warrant was issued in California for Black Panther
official Eldridge Cleaver for parole violation;
more demonstrations and sit-ins closed down San
Francisco State; nine draft-record burners were
found guilty in Baltimore; Black Panthers staged
another shoot-out with police. And in Vietnam, fighting
intensified with violations of the demilitarized
zone on both sides and casualties continuing to
mount. On November 29, Hanoi radio broadcast an
order to Viet Cong troops to launch a new offensive
to "utterly destroy" American and South
Vietnamese forces.
In
December, a Black Panthers headquarters in Newark
was firebombed; more campus demonstrations and disturbances
broke out at Wisconsin State, NYU, the University
of Connecticut, Brown, Pembroke, Cornell, Harvard,
Radcliffe and elsewhere. In Chicago, the FBI arrested
thirty-two people charged with obtaining illegal
draft deferments by using false identification with
the Illinois National Guard. And so it went. The
FBI reported in mid-December that nationally reported
crime in the first nine months of 1968 had gone
up 19 percent over the corresponding period in 1967,
with violent crime up 21 percent. By mid-December
also, American combat deaths in Vietnam had reached
30,000.
A
rare bright spot came on December 21, when the Apollo
8 spacecraft blasted off, bearing three astronauts
on the first orbit of the moon, which they accomplished
on Christmas Eve, just as a holiday truce was being
observed in Vietnam. But three days later, as the
space ship returned home safely, the American command
in Saigon reported that the truce had been violated
by 140 enemy engagements, forty-seven of them resulting
in casualties. So 1968 ended as it had begun—in
violence and, for many, a widespread sense of hopelessness
in spite of the election of a new president.
For
many others, however, Nixon's election brought hope
and even expectation that his firm words about restoring
law and order would produce a more civil society
at home, and that his unspecific promise to end
the war in Vietnam also would be realized in the
year ahead. Instead, tensions rose even higher as
Agnew ranted against "radical liberals,"
more and larger anti-war demonstrations were conducted
and Nixon sent American troops into Cambodia in
1970, firing up the campuses again, notably at Kent
State, where trigger-happy National Guardsmen fired
on crowds of students, killing four of them.
Meanwhile,
however, a voice from the failed Goldwater campaign
of 1964 was being heard increasingly in the land.
Ronald Reagan, now governor of California, was emerging
as the darling of a resuscitated conservative movement
that, with a major helping hand from Nixon, was
reaping the political rewards of the public alienation
against the street excesses of 1968.
In
1974, however, Nixon's disastrous Watergate scandal
drove him from office, giving Democrat Jimmy Carter
a temporary lease on the White House in 1976. But
by the time he sought reelection in 1980, Reagan
and conservatism had moved commandingly onto the
scene. The demonization of liberalism and the Democratic
Party, facilitated by the turmoil of 1968 that offended
a whole generation of Americans, became an effective
tool in Reagan's election and eventually in the
takeover of Congress by the Republicans for the
first time in 40 years in 1994.
Not
all of this, certainly, could be attributed to the
mayhem in the streets of 1968. But it clearly did
feed the public yearning for domestic order and
security that was a core value of the conservative
movement, and of Reagan himself. If 1968 itself
was not the best of times for that movement, it
did help foster the public attitudes on which first
Nixon and then Reagan fashioned much of their political
success.
As
for the liberals and the Democratic Party generally,
there is less room for argument that 1968 was not
the worst of times. The year saw a turning to the
political process by critics of domestic conditions
and conduct of the war, college students particularly,
to bring about change, and the failure of that process
to achieve their goals. In their efforts, the Democratic
Party was torn asunder, the Vietnam war only intensified,
and two of liberalism's most prominent and charismatic
leaders—King and Kennedy—were snatched
away in violent acts that seemed especially to underscore
a national malaise.
Many
of the young reformers continued their efforts,
but many also gave up on the political process and
dropped out in despair. For them, the dream of a
more peaceful and equitable society was smashed
by the events of 1968. At the same time, those others
of more conservative bent who thought they had seen
the fire of their own political dreams thoroughly
doused in the Goldwater debacle of four years earlier
suddenly saw a stirring in the ashes.
In
any event, 1968 left in its wake an intriguing array
of speculations. What if King and Kennedy had lived?
Would the cause of civil rights have remained on
a more nonviolent path against the pressures of
the black power movement? Would Kennedy have been
nominated and elected? Would American participation
in the Vietnam war have ended more quickly? What
if Kennedy had supported McCarthy, thus unifying
the anti-war vote, rather than running against him
and splitting that vote? What if McCarthy had endorsed
Humphrey earlier and possibly provided him the narrow
margin he needed to beat Nixon? And what if Humphrey
had used the information Johnson gave him to charge
Nixon with sabotaging the Vietnam peace talks in
the campaign's final hours?
All
such conjecture is, to be sure, idle. In any event,
as 1968 actually did play out, it was a year not
many Americans would want to go through again, whether
as liberals and Democrats whose political hopes
and dreams were smashed, or as Republicans and conservatives
who survived and went on toward the realization
of theirs.